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| JFZL7181 | Statistical Approaches to Estim.of Earthquake | 3+0+0 | ECTS:7.5 | | Year / Semester | Fall Semester | | Level of Course | Third Cycle | | Status | Elective | | Department | DEPARTMENT of GEOPHYSICAL ENGINEERING | | Prerequisites and co-requisites | None | | Mode of Delivery | Face to face, Practical | | Contact Hours | 14 weeks - 3 hours of lectures per week | | Lecturer | Prof. Dr. Nilgün Lütfiye SAYIL | | Co-Lecturer | None | | Language of instruction | Turkish | | Professional practise ( internship ) | None | | | | The aim of the course: | | To give basic information about statistical seismology, to teach model building for earthquake prediction |
| Programme Outcomes | CTPO | TOA | | Upon successful completion of the course, the students will be able to : | | | | PO - 1 : | Basic sciences for defining, formulating and solving problems of geophysical engineering | 2,3,4 | 1,3 | | PO - 2 : | To train graduates who have gained the skill of applying basic engineering sciences and earth sciences | 2,3,4 | 1,3 | | PO - 3 : | Ability to detect physical and geological features of shallow and deep earth crust, to design and solve problems related to earthquake prediction and modeling | 2,3,4 | 1,3 | | CTPO : Contribution to programme outcomes, TOA :Type of assessment (1: written exam, 2: Oral exam, 3: Homework assignment, 4: Laboratory exercise/exam, 5: Seminar / presentation, 6: Term paper), PO : Learning Outcome | | |
| Statistical approaches at Earthquake Occurrences, Earthquake occurrence and probabilistic approaches, Statistical methods used Earthquake prediction |
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| Course Syllabus | | Week | Subject | Related Notes / Files | | Week 1 | The place and importance of statistical methods in geophysics | | | Week 2 | Usage areas of statistical methods in seismology | | | Week 3 | Statistical methods for determining seismic activity | | | Week 4 | Use of statistical methods in earthquake parameters and source parameters | | | Week 5 | Statistical methods in earthquake occurrence models | | | Week 6 | Earthquake occurrence and probability approach | | | Week 7 | Probability models | | | Week 8 | Quiz | | | Week 9 | Time-dependent risk identification | | | Week 10 | Determination of long and short term seismic risk | | | Week 11 | Contribution of geodetic and paleoseismic data to risk determination | | | Week 12 | Probability approach in earthquake risk analysis and design | | | Week 13 | Reduction of seismic risk | | | Week 14 | Statistical methods used before earthquakes | | | Week 15 | homework presentation | | | Week 16 | final quiz | | | |
| 1 | Bolt, B.A., 1999; Earthquakes, W.H.Freeman and Company, USA. | | | 2 | Mulargia, F. and Geller, R., 2003; Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction, Kluwer Academic Publisher. | | | 3 | Shearer P.M., 1999; Introduction to Seismology, Cambridge Univ. Pres. | | | |
| Method of Assessment | | Type of assessment | Week No | Date | Duration (hours) | Weight (%) | | Mid-term exam | 8 | 24/04/2017 | 1,5 | 30 | | Homework/Assignment/Term-paper | 10 | 20/05/2017 | 6 | 20 | | End-of-term exam | 15 | 10/06/2017 | 1,5 | 50 | | |
| Student Work Load and its Distribution | | Type of work | Duration (hours pw) | No of weeks / Number of activity | Hours in total per term | | Yüz yüze eğitim | 3 | 14 | 42 | | Sınıf dışı çalışma | 7 | 14 | 98 | | Arasınav için hazırlık | 15 | 1 | 15 | | Arasınav | 2 | 1 | 2 | | Ödev | 6 | 8 | 48 | | Kısa sınav | 1 | 2 | 2 | | Dönem sonu sınavı için hazırlık | 20 | 1 | 20 | | Dönem sonu sınavı | 2 | 1 | 2 | | Total work load | | | 229 |
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