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| JFZ3008 | Statstical Seismology | 2+0+0 | ECTS:4 | | Year / Semester | Spring Semester | | Level of Course | First Cycle | | Status | Elective | | Department | DEPARTMENT of GEOPHYSICAL ENGINEERING | | Prerequisites and co-requisites | None | | Mode of Delivery | Face to face | | Contact Hours | 14 weeks - 2 hours of lectures per week | | Lecturer | Prof. Dr. Nilgün Lütfiye SAYIL | | Co-Lecturer | None | | Language of instruction | Turkish | | Professional practise ( internship ) | None | | | | The aim of the course: | | give to principle informations about statistical methods, made applied analyses |
| Learning Outcomes | CTPO | TOA | | Upon successful completion of the course, the students will be able to : | | | | LO - 1 : | conceive the account of statistical methods in Geophysics | 1,2 | 1,3 | | LO - 2 : | learn the statistical methods used in earthquake and source parameters | 1,2 | 1,3,6 | | LO - 3 : | descrice the statistical methods in earthquake occurence models | 1,2 | 1,3,6 | | LO - 4 : | use the probabilistic approach in earthquake risk analysis | 1,2 | 1,3,6 | | CTPO : Contribution to programme outcomes, TOA :Type of assessment (1: written exam, 2: Oral exam, 3: Homework assignment, 4: Laboratory exercise/exam, 5: Seminar / presentation, 6: Term paper), LO : Learning Outcome | | |
| Account of statistical methods in geophysics, using areas of statistical methods, determination of seismic activity using statistical methodseartquake occurence models using statistical methodsprobabilistic models, risk determination of time dependentpaleoseismic data using seismic riskprobability approach on the earthquake risk analysisdecrease of seismic risk |
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| Course Syllabus | | Week | Subject | Related Notes / Files | | Week 1 | Seismicity concept, Distribution of earthquakes according to the time and space | | | Week 2 | Concept of earthquake effect, Statistical models; Stochastic and physical models | | | Week 3 | Where does geophysics lie?, Different roles for stochastic models | | | Week 4 | Descriptive models in seismology; G-R law, Omori law | | | Week 5 | Engineering models, Analysis of data from an individual or a historical catalogue | | | Week 6 | Models of background seismicity, ETAS, Kagan-Jacson, EEPAS | | | Week 7 | Conceptual models, Earthquake occurrence models, determination and relations of magnitude-frequency | | | Week 8 | (EKK) least square method, Seismotectonic interpretation of the relation of magnitude-frequency,forecast of seismic risk | | | Week 9 | Gumbel distribution model, Risk analysis with the Fisher- Tippett Tip-I (Gumbel) model | | | Week 10 | Risk analysis with the Fisher- Tippett Tip-II (Weibull) model | | | Week 11 | Principle concepts of seismology; earthquake dimension, size | | | Week 12 | Parameters of ground motion, amplitude, frequency, time, ground motion parameter | | | Week 13 | Seismic risk analysis | | | Week 14 | Determination and interpretation of earthquake sources | | | Week 15 | Descriptive seismic risk analysis | | | Week 16 | Probabilistic seismic risk analysis | | | |
| 1 | Mulargia, F. and Geller, R., 2003, Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction, Kluwer Academic Publisher. | | | 2 | Bolt, B.A., 1999, Earthquakes, W.H.Freeman and Company, USA. | | | 3 | Shearer P.M., 1999, Introduction to Seismology, Cambridge Univ. Pres. | | | |
| Method of Assessment | | Type of assessment | Week No | Date | Duration (hours) | Weight (%) | | Mid-term exam | 8 | 31/03/2011 | 1,5 | 30 | | Homework/Assignment/Term-paper | 14 | 13/05/2011 | 4 | 20 | | End-of-term exam | 16 | 24/05/2011 | 1,5 | 50 | | |
| Student Work Load and its Distribution | | Type of work | Duration (hours pw) | No of weeks / Number of activity | Hours in total per term | | Yüz yüze eğitim | 2 | 14 | 28 | | Sınıf dışı çalışma | 7 | 10 | 70 | | Laboratuar çalışması | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Arasınav için hazırlık | 6 | 1 | 6 | | Arasınav | 0 | 1 | 0 | | Uygulama | 0 | 3 | 0 | | Klinik Uygulama | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Ödev | 1 | 3 | 3 | | Proje | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Kısa sınav | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Dönem sonu sınavı için hazırlık | 6 | 1 | 6 | | Dönem sonu sınavı | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Diğer 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Diğer 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Total work load | | | 114 |
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